Topic > Key Assumptions of Game Theory

IndexIntroductionAn Overview of Game TheoryThe Prisoner's DilemmaThe Cournot Duopoly ModelImproving Game TheoryConclusionIntroductionGame theory, a mathematical tool for understanding the dynamics of strategic interactions between decision makers, forms the foundation of our analysis. Although its theoretical foundations are based on the assumption of rationality and complete information, it is essential to recognize that real-world scenarios often deviate from these idealized conditions. Strategic decisions made by individuals, such as managers, can be driven by different motives, including the pursuit of growth, revenue maximization or corporate social responsibility, challenging the assumption of purely rational behavior. Furthermore, the elusive quest for complete information, in which all players possess a complete understanding of the benefits associated with changes in strategy, often proves unattainable in practice. Say no to plagiarism. Get a tailor-made essay on "Why Violent Video Games Shouldn't Be Banned"? Get an original essay Our investigation delves into specific game models, such as the prisoner's dilemma and Cournot's duopoly, to shed light on the consequences of strategic behavior within the realm of economics. The prisoner's dilemma predicts that two oligopolistic firms engaged in strategic actions will invariably find themselves in a suboptimal position due to their inclination to initially collude and subsequently betray each other. This prediction is in line with historical evidence, particularly observed in the US automotive market in the 1950s. Another model we explore is the Cournot duopoly, which assumes that a duopoly, characterized by the presence of two firms, produces more favorable market outcomes than a monopoly. In this approach, firms engage in competition based on quantitative adjustments, as increasing prices would lead to a decline in market share (Ferguson, n.d.). Although this model presents challenges in empirical testing, economists widely accept its conclusions as accurate. To improve the accuracy of the Cournot Duopoly model, it is imperative to recognize information disparities between players and the existence of multiple Nash equilibria, each representing an ideal outcome for a player. This model offers valuable insights into the behavior of oligopolistic firms, clarifying how they avoid non-price competition, perceived price rigidity, and their susceptibility to collusive temptations. Furthermore, it can be applied to analyze the collaborative efforts of larger entities such as governments on issues such as international trade. In this comprehensive report, we embark on a detailed exploration of game theory, an indispensable analytical tool. Game theory allows decision makers to strategically anticipate and respond to the actions of their opponents, optimizing their outcomes. The decisions made by other players in the game exert a profound influence on the overall outcomes, making the study of this dynamic field crucial to our understanding of economics. It is essential to distinguish between non-cooperative and cooperative game theory. An important example of the former is the Nash equilibrium, in which no player has an incentive to change his strategy, even when he possesses complete knowledge of his opponents' choices (MBA Crystal Ball, n.d.). Our investigation will revolve around various examples of Nash equilibrium, in particular the prisoner's dilemma and the Cournot approach, and their profoundimplications for the field of economics. An Overview of Game Theory Cooperative game theory introduces a different dimension, where players collaborate within groups and compete. against other similar groups. This concept finds an interesting parallel in organizations like OPEC, where member states work together to limit the supply of oil, thereby pushing prices up and maximizing profits. In the following sections of this report, we will delve into the fundamental tenets of cooperative game theory, its practical applications, as well as the inherent limitations it grapples with. A central tenet of game theory is the assumption that all participants act rationally, driven by a relentless pursuit to maximize their gains within the game (Economic Discussion, 2019). Although this assumption forms the foundation of the model, its applicability to the real world remains controversial. Decisions in real life can often be influenced by emotions or impulsive choices. For example, an investor might shun a financially sound soccer team in favor of a team he has supported since childhood, sacrificing potential higher returns for sentimental reasons. Similarly, in the realm of oligopolistic firms, managers may prioritize factors such as growth, revenue, and corporate social responsibility over strict profit maximization. ). In this construct, all possible outcomes must be predictable before the game begins. However, this hypothesis faces real challenges. Unexpected events can disrupt expected outcomes, making the predetermined nature of the game questionable. Furthermore, the practicality of companies that possess in-depth knowledge of both their own profits and those of their competitors is questionable. As Osak (2010) rightly points out, many companies do not have sufficient information to make informed strategic decisions. Furthermore, the idealized concept of complete information, in which each player possesses knowledge of his or her opponents' payoffs (Kovach, Gibson & Lamont, 2015), does not align with the complexities of reality. Information imbalances often exist, giving some actors an advantage in strategic decision making. This variation in information availability can have a significant impact on the fairness of the game. However, the idea that players only concede when it increases their probability of winning resonates in real-life scenarios. An illustrative example is the television program "Golden Balls", in which contestants must choose whether to split or steal the prize money in the final round. In many cases, participants choose to share the prize, driven by ethical considerations and a desire to avoid betraying their counterparts (Investopedia, 2019). Finally, the assumption that players can seamlessly adopt multiple strategies and adapt their prices in response to competitors encounters practicalities. obstacles. Industry-specific regulations, such as price caps, can prevent companies from changing their prices beyond a certain threshold, making such strategic flexibility difficult to achieve in practice. The Prisoner's Dilemma One of the crucial applications of game theory, the Prisoner's Dilemma, illuminates the intricate dynamics of strategic interactions in which one player's decisions affect the outcomes of all participants. This model revolves around the prediction that when two rational decision makers engage in strategic behavior to improve their individual positions, they ultimately find themselves in a collectively disadvantaged state (Tragakes, 2015). At first, both companies in thisscenario they opt for a low pricing strategy, each reaping profits of $20 million. However, they soon recognize that by colluding and jointly implementing a high pricing strategy, they can collectively amass profits of $50 million. A dilemma then ensues: each firm faces the temptation to betray the collusive agreement, returning to a low-price strategy to seize its rival's market share and increase its individual profits to as much as $70 million. Furthermore, both companies are convinced that if they do not initiate this betrayal, their competitor will seize the opportunity. As a result, both companies lower their prices, returning to the $20 million profit margin. Game theory assumes that two firms engaging in strategic behavior inevitably end up in a suboptimal position due to their mutual position. incentive to cheat, underscoring the idea that price competition within the domain of oligopolistic firms should be strenuously avoided (Tragakes, 2015). This model reveals the web of strategic interdependence that characterizes oligopolies, where competing incentives to cheat or collude continually shape the competitive landscape. Unfortunately, empirical testing of this prediction faces substantial challenges, as discussed above in the limitations of game theory. However, historical cases provide compelling evidence to support the conclusions drawn from the prisoner's dilemma. During the 1950s, General Motors (GM), Ford, and Chrysler enjoyed a dominant position in the U.S. automotive market and collectively conspired to introduce their own iterations of small cars. However, the 1970s witnessed a divergence in their strategies. Chrysler initiated sustained price increases for its small cars, while GM and Ford intended to follow suit. In an attempt to capture some of Chrysler's market share, GM opted for a lower price increase than Chrysler. This strategy was initially successful, until Chrysler decided to return to its initial prices, effectively nullifying GM's advantage. This historical example vividly illustrates the complexity of competing incentives to cheat and collude in the strategic interaction of oligopolistic firms, ultimately leaving them worse off. advantages over monopolies. This statement arises from the model's assumption that within an industry, two firms produce a homogeneous product, act strategically without collusion, and exhibit complete rationality. In this scenario, companies aiming to increase profits may consider raising prices, but such a strategy comes at the expense of losing market share. Therefore, the Cournot approach seeks to maximize both market share and profits by determining optimal prices (Ferguson, n.d.). These prices are mutually accepted by both firms, constituting a Nash equilibrium. Because this approach emphasizes competition through quantitative adjustments, it predicts that this market structure can better generate socially optimal quantities of goods than monopolies. Although this model presents valuable information, it is difficult to test empirically due to its theoretical nature. Nonetheless, economists widely accept his predictions, widely agreeing that monopolies are generally socially harmful. In practice, monopolies are illegal or subject to government regulation, potentially leading to more favorable outcomes than those observed in duopolistic settings. The Cournot duopoly model leads to normative conclusions.He advises players to select options that are likely to produce better results, even if that means receiving lower rewards with reduced risk. Furthermore, he highlights the benefits of forming alliances and engaging in cooperative game theory, as this can turn potential adversaries into allies. Improving Game Theory Improving game theory to address its inherent challenges would be helpful in making it more relevant and beneficial to various stakeholders in society. . The model is designed to analyze individual behavior in strategic situations where adversaries possess limited information about each other (Kovach, Gibson & Lamont, 2015). While this notion may be in line with the practices of many oligopolistic companies seeking to protect information from rivals, it may not always hold true in the real world. In these cases, the model's accuracy decreases and becomes less effective in providing solutions for complex real-world conflicts characterized by information disparities among key actors (Kovach, Gibson & Lamont, 2015). One avenue for improvement might involve developing distinct game models for each player, accommodating differences in information, beliefs, and understandings within the game.game. Another limitation lies in the model's assumption that players constantly act strategically and consider their competitors' responses. In reality, not all managers operate with this mindset, making some of the model's conclusions inapplicable. Furthermore, effective use of the model depends on managers' ability to discern the positive and negative expected benefits of their actions. However, this is often challenging as “most companies will not have sufficient knowledge of their own profits, let alone those of their competitors” (Osak, 2010). Unfortunately, these inherent challenges remain unsolvable, necessitating a growing demand for empirical testing of these theories. However, conducting such tests is extremely difficult due to the highly simplified assumptions of the model (Reinganum, 1984). Conclusion Game theory significantly enriches our understanding of oligopolistic firms by highlighting their complex network of interactions. Every business decision made by one company can reverberate throughout the industry, profoundly affecting the profits of others (Osak, 2010). The model allows companies to formulate optimal strategies based on pre-calculated payoff matrices, offering valuable insights into their behavior, including incentives for collusion and cheating. This understanding extends to the operations of cartels such as OPEC and to various forms of tacit collusion between oligopolistic firms. Furthermore, game theory finds relevance in government decision-making, particularly in the context of international trade. Governments often face strategic dilemmas, such as whether to participate in cooperative agreements or pursue independent strategies. For example, countries seeking allocative efficiency in common-access resource markets, such as fisheries, can collaborate through cap-and-trade schemes. However, such agreements introduce complexity, as countries can anticipate the actions of others, potentially influencing their own decisions. This illustrates how governments can use game theory to guide their choices in international trade and cooperation. Please note: this is just an example. Get a custom paper from our expert writers now. Get a Custom Essay In summary, game theory offers a powerful tool for analyzing strategic decision making across contexts/